Some predictions age badly. In 2015, the British daily “The Guardian” assured that by 2020 we would be “permanent back seat passengers” thanks to self-driving cars.
The American publication “Business Insider” estimated in 2016 that 10 million self-driving cars will travel the roads of North America by 2020.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk, accustomed to bold predictions, said two years ago that his cars’ autopilot system would be so efficient in 2020 that “drivers will no longer pay attention to the road.”
We are over 2021 now. Tesla’s semi-autonomous S and 3 models have instead been involved in around twenty deaths since 2015.
The buzz surrounding the self-driving car, which can roughly be found in thousands of articles between 2013 and 2018, has subsided somewhat today.
Uber, Google, GM, and Honda, among others, continue to rack up test miles with pilot projects, but they no longer make the headlines except in the event of an accident.
The sci-fi fantasy of entering your destination on your car screen and getting it to your destination while you read a magazine in the back has not become reality. Is this technology ultimately more complex than we thought?
“In general, there was a certain naivety on the part of some manufacturers who said it was going to be very simple,” said Pierre Olivier, chief technology officer at LeddarTech, a Quebec-based company that designs sensors and software for self-driving cars. . “It’s always easier to show the first serving than 80%… The reality is, this is a very complex problem, where the number of possible cases is endless. “
He too admits that the self-driving car craze has died down. But it’s not because the research is down. “Things are progressing quickly, there are still a lot of developments, progress on various aspects, whether it is sensors, processors, algorithms… It seems small, but it is big progress. “
From Concept to Industrialization
After every plane crash or fatal accident involving an autonomous car, companies rush to remind us that the latter is far safer than a human driving a car. The road kills some 1.35 million people each year, according to a 2018 World Health Organization report. Estimations say that self-driving cars prevent 90% of these deaths.
The self-driving car proved to be technically feasible. The main challenge now is to demonstrate that it is safe and that the process of car valuation is worth its feature.
In short, the self-driving car faces a well-known milestone for new products, the shift from proof of concept to industrialization. Although it has shown to be doable; now the challenge is industrial. That is, going from people who were doing proof of concept, very intelligent algorithms, to all dimensions of the industry, personal safety, cybersecurity, and robustness.
Robustness, in this context, is to obtain an autonomous car that will not be confused by changes in context, whose sensors will not be out of line with time, or when the vehicle passes over a speed bump, which will not be vulnerable to cyber-attacks.
The challenge is also to be able to explain to the driver or anyone else who is not an expert in artificial intelligence how decisions are made.
To achieve this, it is necessary to resort to a “hybrid AI”, capable of learning from many examples, but also obeying theoretical rules.
Our brain works that way. When you are little, you are given examples. At the same time, we go to school to learn to reason. To solve a complex problem, you need both.
It is not entirely correct to say that the autonomous car is still not part of our lives in 2022. Many assisted driving functions are offered today, thanks to research on autonomous cars.
Many of these functions are found especially in high-end models, but the manufacturers don’t want to send the message that these are stand-alone systems: they prefer to talk about “correction systems”.
While we can’t decide on the year of availability to the general public of 100% autonomous cars, transitional autonomy has already established itself in the market. Intelligent braking is already fitted to the majority of new cars, but it is clear that if we can avoid collisions, it is extraordinary.
So, living in an advanced country with high traffic jams like UAE, are you thinking of selling your car in Dubai and getting an autonomous one?
Author: Mohamad Omary
Mohamad Omary is the Managing Director of Car Wise. Car Wise.ae is a car buying company that has established itself as the go-to partner for those who want to quickly sell their used cars in the UAE; reaching 20,000 satisfied customers with their easy car selling process and excellent customer service.
If you’re interested in finding out more about the most convenient way to sell a car in Dubai, visit CarWise.